• PublicationPublication

The fuse is lit: Will the Federal Scholarship Tax Credit ignite education innovation?

  • FormatThomas Arnett, Greg Nadeau
  • FormatSeptember 16, 2026

Starting in 2027, taxpayers can claim a credit against their federal income taxes for donating up to $1,700 to nonprofits that award K–12 scholarships. States choose whether to participate, and only donations to scholarship organizations in participating states qualify. If enough taxpayers give, the Federal Scholarship Tax Credit (FSTC) could become one of the largest new sources of federal funding for K–12 education in decades.

The word “scholarship” suggests this money will mostly pay tuition at existing private schools. But the law is written more broadly: students don’t have to leave public schools to receive a scholarship, and scholarships can cover a range of educational expenses beyond private school tuition. That latitude raises a question that the debate over this policy has largely skipped past. Could this funding reach the learning experiences and school models that neither public nor private systems currently support?

In this report, senior research fellow Thomas Arnett and Ed3 convenor Greg Nadeau map two paths the money could take. The additive path funds experiences that sit alongside conventional schooling. The redesign path funds schools built on an entirely different model.

Whether the FSTC reaches either path depends on five conditions, and the federal law by itself settles none of them:

  1. The paths can open.
  2. The money shows up.
  3. The money funds innovative programs, not just familiar ones.
  4. Incentives point innovation toward the students who are hardest to serve.
  5. Oversight protects without strangling.

A lit fuse can fizzle as easily as it can ignite, and which one happens will be decided by an array of choices over the next several years.

This report illuminates the intricacies of the FSTC and what each condition entails. Dive in to learn more.

Authors

  • Thomas Arnett
    Thomas Arnett

    Thomas Arnett is a senior research fellow for the Clayton Christensen Institute. His work focuses on using the Theory of Disruptive Innovation to study innovative instructional models and their potential to scale student-centered learning in K–12 education. He also studies demand for innovative resources and practices across the K–12 education system using the Jobs to Be Done Theory.

  • Greg Nadeau

    Greg Nadeau has been leading innovative education and workforce data systems projects and standards at the local, state, and national levels for over 30 years. First, as CIO of the MA DOE and then as a consultant at Public Consulting Group, where he directed successful statewide education data projects in 11 states. Greg led the teams that created the CEDS data model, co-chaired the development of CASE and CLR standards at IMS Global, and led the workgroup that published IEEE 1484.2, the LER Ecosystem Standard. Greg is the convenor of Ed3 where he helps lead the national conversation on Learning and Employment Records (LERs), the Special Education Data Model, Safe and Effective AI Learning, and Education Abundance.